The Tropical Depression in the West Philippine Sea is now located approximately 400 km west southwest of Manila carrying 54 kph maximum sustained winds and 83 kph maximum gusts (JMA/Japan).
Forecast shows that the storm will track west northwest towards southern China or Vietnam. Current conditions in the West Philippine Sea are marginally favorable for further development. This tropical low may affect Palawan in the next few days.
Meanwhile, another area of convection (now a low pressure system) is persisting over Yap and Palau islands. This may bring rains to northern Samar/Bicol region by Sunday (26 June).
Both disturbances are expected to bring moderate to heavy rainfall as we head through the weekend in Southern Luzon, Visayas and parts of Mindanao, bringing in a chance of flooding and landslides in these areas.
FPH ASSETS AT RISK
BGBU (Bicol), FPIP/FirstGas (Batangas), NIGBU (Negros) and head office management and employees are recommended to monitor the development of these disturbances.
Satellite image from Himawari-8/Japan
CURRENT AND FORECAST INFORMATION
Satellite image below shows the low (TD) scattered all over the West Philippine Sea bringing in moisture to western parts of Luzon and Visayas. Meanwhile, another area of convection (LPA) has persisted over Yap and Palau islands and is expected to track west northwestward across the Philippine Sea (JTWC). It may bring rains to Bicol region by Sunday.
Satellite image from: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/satellite.php
JMA/Japan forecast track shows the Tropical Depression west of the Philippines is expected to move west northwest at 25 kph in the next 48 hours.
OBSERVED RAINFALL AND FLOOD ALERT
Latest recorded rainfall by JAXA(Japan) shows most rainfall around Palawan and off the west coast of Luzon and Visayas.
Rainfall maps for the next two days (24-25 June) show light to moderate rains in western coast of north Luzon and Visayas. Expect cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and rain showers in Metro Manila today (24 June).
Sunday (26 June) rain forecast shows rainfall distribution shifting to the east. This is due to the LPA currently to the east of Mindanao. By Sunday (26 June) evening to Monday (27 June) morning, moderate to heavy rainfall is expected over northern Samar and most of Bicol region. NCR/Metro Manila is also expected to have a rainy start next week (27 June).
5-DAY LOCALIZED FORECAST IN AREAS WITH FPH ASSETS
For site-specific forecasts, kindly click the links below:
Head Office (Ortigas)
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Read our previous Rainy Season Advisories:
Rainy Season Advisory #1: Here comes the rain again
Rainy Season Advisory #2: Rhythm of the falling rain
Rainy Season Advisory #3: Through the rain
Watch out for our next series on Preparedness and La Nina!
ABOUT THIS ADVISORY
This Weather Advisory/Update is being provided by the Oscar M. Lopez Center for Climate Change Adaptation and Disaster Risk Management Foundation, Inc. (OML Center) in collaboration with Dr. Gerry Bagtasa, an Atmospheric Physicist from UP Diliman and team member of DOST Project NOAH. SMS updates are also provided during holidays and weekends.
The Oscar M. Lopez Center is a non-profit organization principled on climate science that mobilizes private sector support for research on climate change adaptation and disaster risk management.
To know more about the OML Center, visit our website at http://www.omlopezcenter.org/ or visit our office at the 36th floor, OCC, Ortigas.
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Information provided here is based on data from PAGASA and other sources such as JMA and JTWC, among others. JMA is the official weather agency of the northwest Pacific region. PAGASA is the official agency in PAR and main data source for this report.
This weather update is for the internal use of FPH and its subsidiaries only.