Nona is now a Low Pressure Area located 75 km west of Subic, However, rainclouds will still cover NCR, west and northeast Luzon regions. Expect cloudy skies with isolated light rains in NCR, moderate - heavy in western and northeastern parts of Luzon today.
The tropical depression (TD) east of Mindanao is currently moving northwest at 10 kph with 55 kph maximum sustained wind and 83 kph gusts (JMA/Japan). It is expected to make landfall in eastern Mindanao on Friday (Dec18) evening or Saturday (Dec 19) morning (JTWC/US). Together with a strong Northeast Monsoon (Amihan) wind, rain is expected across Visayas and northeast Mindanao.
Partly due to TD Onyok, a significant thunderstorm event will affect most of Bicol region and Visayas tomorrow, Friday (Dec 18).
Rainy Days: Expected Accumulated Amount of Rainfall (mm)
Fri (18 Dec): 80-100mm
Fri (18 Dec): 100-120mm
Satellite image (Himawari, Japan) shows rainclouds over eastern parts of Luzon.
JMA ceased its forecast track for TD Nona, with a 2-day track for the Tropical Depression (noted as b).
Nona was seen to be heading north east by PAGASA last night, however, the convection is more or less skewed north east with the high wind shear over the region. Overall, low level winds are flowing south west taking Nona’s low level circulation with it.
Latest data from TRMM(NASA) and GSMAP (JAXA) show that the heaviest rain has been and will continue to be over Luzon.
RAIN FORECAST MAPS
Rain forecast maps show moderate to heavy rainfall in northeast Luzon and parts of Camarines Norte to light rain for the rest of eastern Luzon today.
Expect overcast conditions with occasional light rains in NCR/Metro Manila that will continue until this afternoon.
A squall line (long line of thunderstorms), partly due to TD Onyok, is expected to come from the east and affect most parts of Bicol region and Visayas tomorrow.
Forecast maps for Mindanao shows scattered rainshowers over the region for the next three days.
This Weather Advisory/Update is being provided by the Oscar M. Lopez Center for Climate Change Adaptation and Disaster Risk Management Foundation, Inc. (OML Center) in collaboration with Dr. Gerry Bagtasa, an Atmospheric Physicist from UP Diliman and team member of DOST Project NOAH.
The Center is a not-for-profit research organization funded by the Lopez Group of Companies to provide science-based information for sound decision-making.
To know more about the OML Center, visit http://www.omlopezcenter.org/.